Mitt Romney's Mormon (Only) Nevada Landslide
Results for Nevada Republican Presidential Caucus: (with 71% of precincts reporting): Mitt Romney - 11,822 - 47.6% Newt Gingrich -- 5,623 -- 22.7% Ron Paul -- 4.619 -- 18.6% Rick Santorum -- 2,749 -- 11.1% Romney's Nevada victory is being cheered by some in the Republican Party as proof positive that he is on his way to the Party's presidential nomination. One GOP pundit said that Romney won all demographics except for maybe "divorce lawyers and narcissists." Ouch! In his interview with Newt Gingrich on Sunday morning, Meet the Press' David Gregory displayed a chart that showed that Romney had won support from those identifying as conservatives, those supportive of the Tea Party, and with Evangelical Christians. It is worth looking behind the numbers to see if Romney's victory was as broad-based and overwhelming as the Republican Party's establishment would like us to believe. Fact # 1: The Mormon vote made up 25 percent of the total vote in the Nevada caucuses. Fact #2: 91 percent of the Mormon vote went to Romney. (In 2008, according to the Los Angeles Times, "entrance polls conducted before the vote showed that Mormons made up 26% of the total Republican turnout. Romney won 95% of their votes.") Fact #3: According to published reports, nearly 25,000 people participated in the caucuses, a number that will change as more results come in. Of that nearly 25,000, Romney received around 11,800 votes. Fact #4: Of Romney's total, approximately 5,625 came from Mormons, with an additional 6,200 coming from non-Mormon voters. Fact #5: Newt Gingrich received a total of about 5,600 votes. Even if he received most of the rest of the Mormon vote (625) that didn't go to Romney - which is unlikely -- Gingrich would have garnered at least 5,000 non-Mormon votes. That total would have made him very competitive with Romney.
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